Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.329583 1.643078 2.053897 2.651344 3.535060 4.863840 7.176775
2025-03-30 0.934164 1.270018 1.782743 2.691145 4.451389 8.320749 20.720325
2025-04-06 0.723768 1.037720 1.561565 2.614337 5.095745 12.718268 66.481884
2025-04-13 0.599634 0.891870 1.411247 2.559325 5.744867 19.409263 411.877560
2025-04-20 0.545180 0.843361 1.411330 2.813852 7.613794 43.049586 NaN
2025-04-27 0.494347 0.787431 1.376010 2.965251 9.532485 104.835637 NaN
2025-05-04 0.443580 0.720460 1.296778 2.954330 10.879300 257.926113 NaN
2025-05-11 0.396177 0.651476 1.195256 2.825947 11.470483 618.098486 NaN
2025-05-18 0.368069 0.615902 1.161395 2.900607 13.749447 14883.887257 NaN
2025-05-25 0.348459 0.594179 1.154841 3.071339 17.733121 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.324735 0.560299 1.110189 3.077506 20.509001 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.299206 0.519382 1.039440 2.945181 21.277800 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.286377 0.504901 1.037063 3.115422 28.475966 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.270340 0.481455 1.005968 3.144431 34.367015 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.252621 0.452287 0.953631 3.045507 36.942503 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.237661 0.427877 0.910858 2.976624 40.650142 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.233362 0.427313 0.936984 3.294444 69.439229 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.226140 0.419057 0.938573 3.484941 109.534623 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.215632 0.401904 0.909570 3.471162 138.076672 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.203464 0.379744 0.861546 3.309613 139.908374 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.196670 0.370020 0.851803 3.403469 215.990844 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.192145 0.365383 0.857774 3.619048 479.173631 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.184908 0.353377 0.837297 3.626859 770.886170 NaN NaN